Geopolitics

Wars, alliances and sanctions redraw who sells food to whom, and at what risk.

31 articles found

Top Stories

India ships about two-fifths of the world's traded rice, so one change to its food policy can lift prices on every continent.

31 August8 min read

A weak dollar, La Niña risk and geopolitics are driving a broad commodity rally, with cotton and corn the exceptions.

30 January6 min read

A Canada-China deal cutting duties on canola, peas and seafood could let Canadian exporters raise prices and lift pulses.

19 January4 min read

New farm tariffs from the EU, US and Mexico aimed at Asian exporters, India above all, are straining the WTO system.

15 December 20256 min read

Indian marine exports rose 16% in H1 FY2025 despite US tariffs, as exporters sent 57% of their shrimp to other markets.

8 December 20255 min read

With the July 9 tariff deadline near, Vietnam secured a 20% US rate while India and the EU are still negotiating.

7 July 202512 min read

Talks in Geneva moved US-China trade forward, and a deal could reopen China's 105 mt soybean market to US farmers.

15 May 20256 min read

US soybean and corn farmers are losing about $100 an acre as China's tariffs shut their biggest market.

14 May 20256 min read

US tariffs of 145% and China's 125% reply have stalled US soybean and corn sales to China, shifting trade to Brazil and Argentina.

14 April 20256 min read
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Geopolitics essentials

Multilateral Trade Under Strain as Western Economies Turn Protectionist

New farm tariffs from the EU, US and Mexico aimed at Asian exporters, India above all, are straining the WTO system.

December 15, 2025

Geopolitics and Global Agri Trade: How 2026 Markets Will Be Shaped

Tariff wars and subsidy races now move agri markets more than supply and demand, and that will shape 2026.

November 17, 2025

US Tariffs: 5 Critical Ways Trade Wars are Devastating American Farmers’ Profits

US soybean and corn farmers are losing about $100 an acre as China's tariffs shut their biggest market.

May 14, 2025

BRICS Grain Exchange: Why History Suggests Caution

Russia's BRICS grain exchange plan runs into clashing interests between exporters and big importers like China and India.

November 21, 2024

US Elections and Global Grain Trade: Implications of Potential Policy Shifts

Both US presidential candidates lean protectionist, and Trump's proposed 60% tariff on China could reshape grain trade.

November 4, 2024

India–EU free trade pact seen as structural boost for exports amid global tariff pressure

The India-EU trade deal gives Indian exporters a way around 50% US tariffs, and farm and food exports to the EU could nearly double.

January 28, 2026

China steps up US soybean buying to meet 12 million tonne pledge

China is buying US soybeans to meet its 12 mt pledge despite a premium over Brazil, lifting prices above $10.60/bushel.

January 20, 2026

Sino-Canada Deal Could Lift Pulse Prices

A Canada-China deal cutting duties on canola, peas and seafood could let Canadian exporters raise prices and lift pulses.

January 19, 2026

Brazil Set to Benefit from Global Trade Frictions Despite Domestic Pressures

RaboResearch expects Brazil's agribusiness to hold up in 2026 as trade fights send buyers to its soybeans, corn and meat.

January 14, 2026

Free Trade Agreements: How EU Safeguards Could Reshape Asia’s Rice Exports

An EU safeguard on Asian rice from January 2027 could cancel out India's FTA gains and squeeze Pakistan, Myanmar and Cambodia.

December 9, 2025

India’s Move to Assure Market Access to Canadian Pea Growers: What’s Behind It?

India is weighing long-term access for Canadian yellow peas as part of a reset with Ottawa, a hedge against food inflation.

December 1, 2025

Farmers Benefit from US-China Trade Talks and India’s Import Duty Decision

A US-China soybean deal lifted prices above $11/bushel as India restored its 30% yellow pea duty.

November 4, 2025

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