El Niño

12 articles found

Top Stories

A weak Indian monsoon threatens the kharif crop, raising El Niño food inflation and India's need for imported edible oils and pulses.

6 July4 min read

A weak dollar, La Niña risk and geopolitics are driving a broad commodity rally, with cotton and corn the exceptions.

30 January6 min read

A Canada-China deal cutting duties on canola, peas and seafood could let Canadian exporters raise prices and lift pulses.

19 January4 min read

New farm tariffs from the EU, US and Mexico aimed at Asian exporters, India above all, are straining the WTO system.

15 December 20256 min read

Indian marine exports rose 16% in H1 FY2025 despite US tariffs, as exporters sent 57% of their shrimp to other markets.

8 December 20255 min read

With the July 9 tariff deadline near, Vietnam secured a 20% US rate while India and the EU are still negotiating.

7 July 202512 min read

Talks in Geneva moved US-China trade forward, and a deal could reopen China's 105 mt soybean market to US farmers.

15 May 20256 min read

US soybean and corn farmers are losing about $100 an acre as China's tariffs shut their biggest market.

14 May 20256 min read

US tariffs of 145% and China's 125% reply have stalled US soybean and corn sales to China, shifting trade to Brazil and Argentina.

14 April 20256 min read
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Archive

El Niño essentials

El Nino La Nina Agriculture: How ENSO Cycles Reshape Crop Yields and Commodity Prices Across 5 Key Regions

A strong El Niño building for late 2026 could disrupt food production and trade flows well into 2027.

April 7, 2026

Global Commodities Rally as Geopolitics, Currency Moves and Weather Risks Align

A weak dollar, La Niña risk and geopolitics are driving a broad commodity rally, with cotton and corn the exceptions.

January 30, 2026

El Niño risk could reshape cashew markets in 2026–27

An El Niño forecast for July–September 2026 threatens cashew crops in Asia and Africa, much like the 2023 price spike.

January 7, 2026

El Niño Signals Could Mark a Turning Point for the Global Pulses Market

Pulses start 2026 weak, but an El Niño from July to September could hurt India's kharif crop and turn prices up.

January 6, 2026

Climate Change’s Growing Impact on Global Agricultural Trade: A 2025 Outlook

2024 was India's warmest year since 1901, and a weak La Niña should bring more rain to Asia and drier weather to the Americas.

January 6, 2025

El Nino Food Inflation Risk Signals Bearish 8.5% Threat

A weak Indian monsoon threatens the kharif crop, raising El Niño food inflation and India's need for imported edible oils and pulses.

July 6, 2026

Rice Prices Rising as El Nino Drought Builds

El Niño fears have reversed an early slide in rice prices as exporters and importers prepare for tropical supply problems.

June 1, 2026

Global Cashew Market Faces Rising Bearish Crop Threat as El Nino Strengthens

A super El Niño could hit cashew harvests from West Africa to Southeast Asia, tightening supply and lifting kernel prices by late 2026.

May 18, 2026

Global Agriculture Crisis Deepens as 3 Converging Risks Threaten 2026 Harvests

A long Gulf war, a looming super El Niño and shrinking farm margins add up to the hardest test for food production in a generation.

April 26, 2026

Global Agriculture, Crude Oil Prices, Fertilizer Supply, Strait of Hormuz, La Nina El Nino

The Iran war, broken fertiliser supply chains and a shift from La Niña to El Niño are putting world food output under heavy strain.

March 30, 2026

Emerging Market Economies Face Bearish Pressure as Costs Surge 3x

Developing countries like India face tripled freight costs, dearer inputs and El Niño drought risk as the Iran war drags on.

March 13, 2026

Indian kharif sowing, fertilizer prices, Iran war impact, urea shortage, El Nino drought

Urea has passed $850/t as the Iran war chokes Hormuz shipments, clouding India's June planting as El Niño fears grow.

March 6, 2026

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