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Middle East Conflict

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Energy & Climate

Biofuel Demand Surges as Hormuz Crisis Fuels Bullish 60% Mandate Expansion

11 May7 min read
Biofuel demand growth visualised through oilseed processing facility with canola and soybean feedstocks
Energy & Climate

Fertilizer Supply Normalisation Accelerates as US Iran Deal Shifts Bearish Outlook for $780 Urea Peak

7 May5 min read
Fertilizer supply normalisation prospects improve as diplomatic progress between the US and Iran signals potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz Food Crisis Signals Worsening Bearish Outlook as FAO Warns of 6-12 Month Shock

23 May7 min read
Strait of Hormuz food crisis illustrated by a tanker vessel navigating the narrow Persian Gulf chokepoint
Geopolitics

Global Agriculture Crisis Deepens as 3 Converging Risks Threaten 2026 Harvests

26 April
Energy & Climate

Iran War Food Security Risks Surge as Fertilizer Costs Nearly Double

23 April
Energy & Climate

Global Agriculture, Crude Oil Prices, Fertilizer Supply, Strait of Hormuz, La Nina El Nino

30 March
Economy

Emerging Market Economies Face Bearish Pressure as Costs Surge 3x

13 March
Energy & Climate

Indian kharif sowing, fertilizer prices, Iran war impact, urea shortage, El Nino drought

6 March

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Middle East Conflict essentials

Persian Gulf Crisis Disrupts Shipping Across Strait of Hormuz

Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz faces pauses, reroutes, suspended bookings, higher insurance and war surcharges.

March 3, 2026

Agricultural Commodities: 5 Ways Middle East Crisis Disrupts Trade

Iran's threat to close the Strait of Hormuz puts 25% of world oil trade at risk, and wheat and palm oil are already up 4%.

June 24, 2025

Strait of Hormuz Food Crisis Signals Worsening Bearish Outlook as FAO Warns of 6-12 Month Shock

May 23, 2026

Biofuel Demand Surges as Hormuz Crisis Fuels Bullish 60% Mandate Expansion

The Hormuz closure is speeding up biofuel mandates, with the US EPA ordering a 60% rise in biodiesel and renewable diesel use.

May 11, 2026

Fertilizer Supply Normalisation Accelerates as US Iran Deal Shifts Bearish Outlook for $780 Urea Peak

A proposed 14-point US-Iran deal sparked a relief sell-off in energy and farm markets and could speed up fertiliser recovery.

May 7, 2026

Global Agriculture Crisis Deepens as 3 Converging Risks Threaten 2026 Harvests

A long Gulf war, a looming super El Niño and shrinking farm margins add up to the hardest test for food production in a generation.

April 26, 2026

Iran War Food Security Risks Surge as Fertilizer Costs Nearly Double

The long Gulf conflict is raising fuel and fertiliser costs, which could lift food prices from the US Midwest to London and Lagos.

April 23, 2026

Global Agriculture, Crude Oil Prices, Fertilizer Supply, Strait of Hormuz, La Nina El Nino

The Iran war, broken fertiliser supply chains and a shift from La Niña to El Niño are putting world food output under heavy strain.

March 30, 2026

Emerging Market Economies Face Bearish Pressure as Costs Surge 3x

Developing countries like India face tripled freight costs, dearer inputs and El Niño drought risk as the Iran war drags on.

March 13, 2026

Indian kharif sowing, fertilizer prices, Iran war impact, urea shortage, El Nino drought

Urea has passed $850/t as the Iran war chokes Hormuz shipments, clouding India's June planting as El Niño fears grow.

March 6, 2026

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Markets & InvestingWhat prices, supply and demand are signalling to the people who buy, sell and trade.Energy & ClimateWeather, El Niño, fuel and fertilizer shape every harvest and the price it fetches.GeopoliticsWars, alliances and sanctions redraw who sells food to whom, and at what risk.Politics & PolicyGovernments move crops across borders with export bans, import duties and support prices.

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