Monsoon

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A slow, uneven southwest monsoon under a developing El Nino threatens kharif planting, farm cash flows, and food prices into FY27.

18 June4 min read

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Monsoon essentials

Indian Monsoon Risks Building Bearish 90% Rainfall Hit

A slow, uneven southwest monsoon under a developing El Nino threatens kharif planting, farm cash flows, and food prices into FY27.

June 18, 2026

Indian kharif sowing, fertilizer prices, Iran war impact, urea shortage, El Nino drought

Urea has passed $850/t as the Iran war chokes Hormuz shipments, clouding India's June planting as El Niño fears grow.

March 6, 2026

Kharif Crop Outlook 2025: India’s Record Harvest and Global Impact

India's 2025 kharif crop has record rice of 124.50 mt and corn of 28.3 mt, a cereal surplus that will weigh on prices into 2026.

November 27, 2025

Pigeon Pea Prices Face Pressure Despite Reduced India Kharif Sowing: Market Analysis for Traders

Tur area in India is down 5% and rain has hit crops, yet prices are expected at $600–700/t, against $1,450/t last year.

July 22, 2025

India’s Kharif Black Matpe Output Hits 10-Year Low: Market Analysis and Implications

India's kharif urad crop fell to a 10-year low of 1.21 mt after rain damage, pushing Myanmar prices up $25/t.

November 6, 2024

India’s Kharif Crop Outlook and Global Cashew Market Trends

India's kharif planting is up 2% with reservoirs at 81%, while cashew prices jumped over 50% to $1,900–2,000/t.

September 27, 2024

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