Energy & Climate

Weather, El Niño, fuel and fertilizer shape every harvest and the price it fetches.

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A weak Indian monsoon threatens the kharif crop, raising El Niño food inflation and India's need for imported edible oils and pulses.

6 July4 min read

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El Nino La Nina Agriculture: How ENSO Cycles Reshape Crop Yields and Commodity Prices Across 5 Key Regions

A strong El Niño building for late 2026 could disrupt food production and trade flows well into 2027.

April 7, 2026

Rising Fertilizer Prices: Implications for Global Agriculture

Conflict, Gulf hurricanes and costlier natural gas are pushing fertiliser prices up, with urea futures 5–6% higher in October.

October 20, 2024

Fertilizer Supply Normalisation Accelerates as US Iran Deal Shifts Bearish Outlook for $780 Urea Peak

A proposed 14-point US-Iran deal sparked a relief sell-off in energy and farm markets and could speed up fertiliser recovery.

May 7, 2026

E15 Ethanol Legislation Faces Bullish May 13 Vote After Farm Bill Strips Fuel Provision

The US House will vote on a standalone E15 bill after ethanol was dropped from the 2026 Farm Bill, splitting corn growers and refiners.

May 6, 2026

Australia Fertilizer Imports Face Rising Pressure as 5 Strategic Moves Signal Bearish Supply Outlook

Australia's response to the fertiliser shortage after the Hormuz closure shows how import-dependent countries can cope.

May 5, 2026

Iran War Food Security Risks Surge as Fertilizer Costs Nearly Double

The long Gulf conflict is raising fuel and fertiliser costs, which could lift food prices from the US Midwest to London and Lagos.

April 23, 2026

Global Agriculture, Crude Oil Prices, Fertilizer Supply, Strait of Hormuz, La Nina El Nino

The Iran war, broken fertiliser supply chains and a shift from La Niña to El Niño are putting world food output under heavy strain.

March 30, 2026

India LPG Shortage Surging as Bearish Supply Crisis Hits 30% Gas Cuts

India's gas supply is badly disrupted as the Iran war and the Hormuz closure choke imports, forcing rationing for hotels and fertiliser.

March 12, 2026

Indian kharif sowing, fertilizer prices, Iran war impact, urea shortage, El Nino drought

Urea has passed $850/t as the Iran war chokes Hormuz shipments, clouding India's June planting as El Niño fears grow.

March 6, 2026

Crude Oil Prices Surging 8% Signals Bearish Outlook for Global Food Costs

US-Iran fighting has disrupted the Strait of Hormuz, sending Brent past $82 and threatening food prices through fertiliser and freight.

March 2, 2026

Turkey’s Wheat Flour Sector Hit by Dry Weather and Policy Shifts

Turkey's flour exports fell 41% as drought cut its wheat crop and duty-free import rules kept being suspended.

January 21, 2026

Indonesia’s Delay of B50 Biodiesel Programme Pressures Palm Oil Market

Indonesia has delayed its B50 biodiesel rollout and kept B40, easing supply fears and pushing palm oil down three days in a row.

January 18, 2026

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